{"id":319676,"date":"2026-10-13T16:52:11","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T11:07:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insurancekhabar.com\/?p=319676"},"modified":"2026-10-13T16:55:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T11:10:06","slug":"us-vs-russia-who-is-winning-the-cold-war-on-insurance-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/us-vs-russia-who-is-winning-the-cold-war-on-insurance-2\/","title":{"rendered":"US vs Russia: Who is winning the &#8216;Cold War&#8217; on insurance?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kathmandu. The US and Russia offer two distinct opportunities for insurance companies. On the one hand, it is the largest and most developed market in the world. Where there is a huge reach, advanced products, and ample assets. On the other hand, there is a very small but rapidly growing market. Which is still emerging from its early stages. This market is being shaped by mandatory insurance, domestic capital, and ongoing economic and regulatory changes. <\/p>\n<p>The U.S. insurance market is the largest in the world. According to data from the Swiss Re Institute, U.S. insurance premiums are projected to reach about $3.5 trillion in 2024. That&#8217;s about 45 percent of the global volume. <\/p>\n<p>Property and casualty insurance alone will generate about $976 billion in total premiums in 2025. Life, annuity, and health insurance will further expand this market. <\/p>\n<p>By comparison, the market in Russia is very small. According to data from central banks and valuation agencies, the total premium in 2025 was about 3.9-4.0 trillion rubles (about $40-45 billion at current exchange rates). It is estimated to reach about 4.47 trillion rubles in 2026. Thus, the overall U.S. market is about 70-80 times larger than the Russian market. <\/p>\n<p>The growth rate is also noticeably different. Swiss Rico estimates that after recent strong years, global real premium growth will be only 1.3 percent in 2026 and 1.6 percent in 2027. In this regard, U.S. growth is projected to slow for developed markets. While ACRA estimates that Russia could see nominal growth of about 15 percent in 2026. That is driven by non-credit life insurance (about 16 percent) and motor insurance (15 percent each). <\/p>\n<p>Despite this difference, the gap between the two countries is large. This difference is clearly visible in premiums per capita and penetration (market access). Insurance density in the U.S. is thousands of dollars per person and in many cases penetration reaches double digits (more than 10 percent) of GDP. <\/p>\n<p>Access to Russia is about 1.9-2 percent of GDP and the average household spending on insurance is also low. John Zhu&#8217;s observation about India and China also applies. Strong percentage growth in small markets should be seen in the light of early conditions, exchange rate effects, product mix, and regulation. There is still a great deal of room to expand formal coverage in Russia. <\/p>\n<p>Compulsory motor third-party liability, voluntary comprehensive motor insurance, voluntary medical insurance, and cumulative life insurance products are expanding. Digital distribution and bank-linked channels are improving access. However, in the long run, many families have limited disposable income for regular premium products and distributions remain uneven outside of major cities. <\/p>\n<p>U.S. profitability depends on high household wealth, established demand for retirement, long-term care, liability, cyber, specialty and advanced business coverage, as well as deep capital markets and highly developed broker and agency systems. Profits in any market ultimately depend not only on demographics or size but also on underwriting discipline, pricing, distribution economics, claims experience, capital management and investment performance. <\/p>\n<p>Both markets are facing margin pressures. However, it is of a different nature. The &#8216;tough market&#8217; in the U.S. for years has subsided. Commercial property rates have fallen sharply in 2026. After several years of rate hikes, personal autos are more competitive and losses from major disasters remain high on a multi-year basis. Reserve releases and investment income contributed to strong results, but the combined ratio is expected to moderate upwards. <\/p>\n<p>Regulated fees on compulsory insurance in Russia, inflation in claims (especially in motor insurance) and the need to manage investment returns in the midst of high interest rates pose their own challenges. Market concentration is high. The top 20 insurance companies account for more than 90 percent of the premiums and foreign participation is limited. <\/p>\n<p>Globally, the insurance industry is expected to slow down. Swiss Reilly forecasts real premium growth of 1.3 percent in 2026 and 1.6 percent in 2027. Against this backdrop, the United States has a large set of consumer and business demand, advanced risk transfer capabilities, and high spending power. Russia offers opportunities for rapid percentage growth and increased penetration from a low base but remains limited by scale, economic instability and limited product range. <\/p>\n<p>Insurance companies must weigh the opportunity to enter Russia&#8217;s ever-growing market against the much larger volume, product diversity and established demand already available in the United States. None of these options automatically generate higher profits. Long-term returns will depend on distribution costs, regulation, appropriate pricing, claims experience, and efficient capital utilization. -Agency<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kathmandu. The US and Russia offer two distinct opportunities for insurance companies. On the one hand, it is the largest and most developed market in the world. Where there is a huge reach, advanced products, and ample assets. On the other hand, there is a very small but rapidly growing market. Which is still emerging [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":319659,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45031,45044,45159],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-319676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banner-news-en","category-international-news-en","category-news-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=319676"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319676\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":319677,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319676\/revisions\/319677"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/media\/319659"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=319676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=319676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/english.insurancekhabar.com\/ikbrapi\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=319676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}